Texas Two Step
Texas game. Pick 4 from 1-35 + Bonus Ball from 1-35.
Recommendation
BORDERLINE
📐 Expected Value Analysis
Current Jackpot
$200.0K
Lump Sum (est.)
$120.0K
After Tax (est.)
$75.6K
Net EV / Ticket
$-0.03
Progress to +EV$525.8K
38.0% of the way to positive expected value
Federal Tax
37%
State Tax (TX)
0% 🎉
Lump Sum
~60%
Prize Structure & Odds
| Match | Prize | EV Contribution | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4+BB | $200.0K * | $0.02 | ||
| 4 | $1.5K | $0.01 | ||
| 3+BB | $54.00 | $0.02 | ||
| 3 | $22.00 | $0.23 | ||
| 2+BB | $21.00 | $0.04 | ||
| 2 | $7.00 | $0.46 | ||
| 1+BB | $7.00 | $0.09 | ||
| 0+BB | $5.00 | $0.09 | ||
| Total EV per $1 ticket | $0.97 | |||
| Ticket cost | -$1.00 | |||
| Net EV | $-0.03 | |||
* Jackpot prize shown is advertised amount. EV calculated using lump sum (60%) after federal tax (37%).
📋 Game Details
Pick4 from 1-35 + 1 from 1-35
Ticket Cost$1
Jackpot Odds1 in 3.9M
Draw DaysMon, Thu
Draw Times10:12 PM CT
Current Jackpot$200.0K
⚠️ Disclaimer: Expected value calculations are estimates based on current jackpot, published odds, and standard tax assumptions (37% federal, 0% state for TX, 60% lump sum factor). Actual results depend on ticket sales, jackpot splits, and individual tax situations. This is math, not a recommendation. Play responsibly.