Mega Millions
Multi-state jackpot game. 5 numbers from 1-70 + Mega Ball from 1-25.
Recommendation
SKIP
📐 Expected Value Analysis
Current Jackpot
$80.0M
Lump Sum (est.)
$48.0M
After Tax (est.)
$30.2M
Net EV / Ticket
$-1.69
Progress to +EV$1.40B
5.7% of the way to positive expected value
Federal Tax
37%
State Tax (TX)
0% 🎉
Lump Sum
~60%
Prize Structure & Odds
| Match | Prize | EV Contribution | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5+MB | $80.0M * | $0.10 | ||
| 5 | $1.0M | $0.05 | ||
| 4+MB | $10.0K | $0.01 | ||
| 4 | $500.00 | $0.01 | ||
| 3+MB | $200.00 | $0.01 | ||
| 3 | $10.00 | $0.02 | ||
| 2+MB | $10.00 | $0.01 | ||
| 1+MB | $4.00 | $0.04 | ||
| 0+MB | $2.00 | $0.05 | ||
| Total EV per $2 ticket | $0.31 | |||
| Ticket cost | -$2.00 | |||
| Net EV | $-1.69 | |||
* Jackpot prize shown is advertised amount. EV calculated using lump sum (60%) after federal tax (37%).
📋 Game Details
Pick5 from 1-70 + 1 from 1-25
Ticket Cost$2
Jackpot Odds1 in 302.6M
Draw DaysTue, Fri
Draw Times11:00 PM ET
Current Jackpot$80.0M
⚠️ Disclaimer: Expected value calculations are estimates based on current jackpot, published odds, and standard tax assumptions (37% federal, 0% state for TX, 60% lump sum factor). Actual results depend on ticket sales, jackpot splits, and individual tax situations. This is math, not a recommendation. Play responsibly.